The infrastructure underneath AI, and the people standing on top of it.

What AI can do is set by the stack underneath it. Who it reaches, and who it puts at risk, is set by what we build on top.

I chose chemical engineering over sociology at 17 and never let the sociology interest go. This is where the two finally plug back together.

Chapter one

The surface

Model launches, benchmark scores, funding rounds. The conversation everyone else is already having. I don't add to it.

Chapter two

The AI Iceberg

Seven layers of infrastructure below the application layer, and what each one costs you. Running now, one layer a week.

Chapter three

After the constraints ease

Two series on what changes once intelligence is cheap: The Rewired Organization for how companies run, The Larger Reckoning for everything else.

The Labor Iceberg

Running alongside all of it, because what's happening to people's jobs won't wait for chapter three.

The Capital Stack

One standalone piece on who actually absorbs the loss if the build-out's financing assumptions break.

▶ Token Pricing Tracker

Frontier input prices have fallen 60x since GPT-4 launch

Weekly-verified historical pricing across flagship and budget model tiers. Watch the cost curve in real time.

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All AI Infrastructure Token Economics Applied AI Product

The AI Iceberg: Why the Application Layer Is Just the Tip

Everyone talks about AI apps. Almost nobody talks about what makes them viable — the six infrastructure layers underneath: custom silicon, memory hierarchies, model architecture, optical interconnects, energy, and the decode stage that accounts for roughly 60% of every inference cost. This is the map.

60x Frontier price drop, 3 yrs
~62% Inference cost: decode stage
$0.10/M Startup freemium threshold
12 min read Read article →

Above the Iceberg: Why Elon Musk's Orbital Data Centers Are the Most Audacious Answer to the AI Infrastructure Problem

SpaceX filed to launch one million orbital data center satellites. Google signed a $920M/month deal. Space compute is currently 3–4× more expensive than ground — but that may not be the point.

10 min read Read article →

You're Building the Wrong Thing: Why the Data Center Arms Race Is a Value Stream Failure

Enterprise AI runs at 5% GPU utilization, measured across 23,000 production clusters. The industry's answer is more data centers. A VSM analysis of all 8 pipeline stages and the optimizations that cut inference cost 50–70% without new hardware.

11 min read Read article →

Margin Architecture: AI Economics Designed Into the Workflow

You can negotiate token prices, switch to a cheaper model, and still watch your AI margin get worse. What decides it is the architecture around the model: what context the workflow carries, how each step is routed, and what happens when an output is wrong.

21 min read Read article →

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Every piece publishes on this site first and stays here. Short posts three to five times a week point back to whichever one is new, so following there means you don't have to keep checking this page.

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